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Avalanche Loses $16.25 Support as Analysts Track a Possible Fall to $9

Avalanche Loses $16.25 Support as Analysts Track a Possible Fall to $9

CryptonewslandCryptonewsland2025/12/01 04:18
By:by Yusuf Islam
  • The AVAX chart showed a firm break under $16.25, which created a path that pointed to lower levels based on past reactions.
  • The price structure displayed repeated bounces on the same zone before finally moving under that level during the latest move.
  • A projected dotted line on the chart showed a steady slide that could take AVAX toward the $9 area if pressure holds.

AVAX slipped below the $16.25 support line after a clear breakdown in the latest session, which shifted the chart into a deeper bearish structure. The image showed a direct fall through a level that held firm multiple times this year, and the pattern now traced a projected path that pointed toward the $9 region. This shift raised a key question that guided trader focus today: Will the break under $16.25 open a steady slide toward the $9 zone?

Repeated Tests of $16.25 End With a Clear Breakdown

The chart displayed several arrows pointing to the same horizontal level around $16.25, which acted as a strong floor in past months. Price bounced at this level in March, April, May, and July which created a long series of reactions that marked it as a major support zone. Each bounce lifted AVAX into short-term recoveries that kept the structure intact.  

Avalanche $AVAX is retesting the breakout zone before a possible continuation toward $9. pic.twitter.com/fmfALP8v9c

— Ali (@ali_charts) November 29, 2025

The latest move differed because the price pushed through the level instead of reacting upward. The fall created the first clear break under the zone in months, which changed the structure. The line on the chart placed $16.25 as the boundary between the old range and the new lower range.

The image showed the price at $14.668 during the latest reading, which confirmed that the break held and did not immediately reverse. That move positioned AVAX inside a lower band of action where past reactions did not exist because the chart had not visited these areas since early periods in the cycle. The shift created a new focus on targets below the recent price.

Projected Path Shows a Step-Down Pattern Toward $9

To the right side of the chart, a dotted line traced a projected decline with several lower highs and lower lows. This pattern showed a possible slide toward the $9 region, which appeared at the bottom of the image. The dotted line acted as a model for the expected path under the new bearish zone.

The projection marked clear levels such as $13.50, $12.50, $10.50 and $9.00, which created a defined route for the decline. Each section of the dotted line matched a typical continuation pattern seen after a support break in this type of chart. The visual structure aimed to show how price could behave if pressure stays on the downside.

The wider image also showed that the last upward phase had already ended earlier in the cycle, and the recent fall continued that broader trend shift. The move under $16.25, therefore, aligned with the larger structure seen on the left side of the chart, where the previous peak above $30 had already faded.

The Current Price Sits in a Fresh Bear Zone After the Break

The image placed the live price at $14.668 with a daily change of -1.14 per cent. This point sat firmly below the $16.25 support, which confirmed that the level no longer acted as a floor. The fall placed AVAX inside an untested zone where no recent consolidation existed on the chart.

The horizontal axis at the bottom marked earlier months, which showed that AVAX had not been near these levels since early periods of the year. That contrast added weight to the break because it placed the price in an area where traders would need to discover new reactions and new volume responses.

The final dotted structure placed heavy focus on the $9 region because it appeared as the long-term target for the continuation pattern shown in the image. The projection outlined a slow step pattern that extended into early 2026, which aligned with the wider fall from the earlier peak.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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