Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesEarnSquareMore
Bitcoin at Risk: EMA20 Breakdown Looms

Bitcoin at Risk: EMA20 Breakdown Looms

CoinomediaCoinomedia2025/11/18 18:54
By:Aurelien SageAurelien Sage

Bitcoin faces a critical test at the monthly EMA20. A breakdown could confirm a bear market, echoing past crypto cycles.Lessons from Past CyclesCould This Time Be Different?

  • Bitcoin is hovering near its key monthly EMA20 support.
  • Previous cycles confirmed bear markets after EMA20 breakdowns.
  • MACD death cross often acts as an early warning signal.

Bitcoin is currently trading at a crucial technical level — its monthly EMA20 (20-month Exponential Moving Average). This indicator has historically served as a make-or-break point for the market . In previous crypto cycles, a confirmed monthly close below this level marked the beginning of extended bear markets.

Right now, bulls are battling to defend this key line. A monthly breakdown could shift market sentiment dramatically and spark a broader sell-off.

Lessons from Past Cycles

Looking back at the last two Bitcoin cycles, a pattern becomes clear. Both times, a monthly close below the EMA20 signaled the official start of a bear market. However, this wasn’t the first warning sign.

The MACD — a momentum indicator — issued early warnings through a “death cross” on the monthly chart. When this crossover occurred, it often preceded the EMA20 breakdown. In essence, the MACD signaled trouble ahead, but the real confirmation came once the EMA20 failed to hold.

This recurring pattern doesn’t guarantee a repeat, but history shows that ignoring these signals can be costly.

Could This Time Be Different?

While some believe that this cycle might break the historical trend, it’s important to remain cautious. Bitcoin may find strength and bounce from the EMA20, but if it fails to hold, the bears may take control.

Technical traders will be watching closely for a clean monthly close. If the EMA20 support gives way, it may once again confirm the start of a larger downtrend — just like it did in 2014 and 2018.

In crypto, history doesn’t always repeat itself exactly — but as the saying goes, it often rhymes.

Read Also :

  • Bitcoin ETF Losses Spike as Price Dips Below $89.6K
  • Bitcoin at Risk: EMA20 Breakdown Looms
  • Crypto Market Crash: BTC Below $90K, ETH Under $3K
  • 4M Merchants to Accept Bitcoin via Lightning Network
  • Africa Launches IOTA-Based Stablecoin Trade Platform
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Earn new token airdrops
Lock your assets and earn 10%+ APR
Lock now!

You may also like

Bitcoin Updates: Bearish Trend in Bitcoin Fuels Increased Interest in Mutuum's DeFi Presale

- Mutuum Finance (MUTM) gains traction as a DeFi presale contender, projecting 2,600% ROI with Phase 6 nearing 99% completion and a $0.040 price hike in Phase 7. - Its buy-and-distribute tokenomics and $18.89M Phase 6 raise highlight strong demand, while Halborn Security audit and Q4 2025 lending protocol launch reinforce institutional-grade credibility. - Bitcoin's dip below $83,000 amplifies MUTM's appeal as a hedge, with analysts noting 400% post-launch price potential and 24-hour leaderboards boosting

Bitget-RWA2025/11/26 06:24
Bitcoin Updates: Bearish Trend in Bitcoin Fuels Increased Interest in Mutuum's DeFi Presale

"Automation and enhanced security are driving cryptocurrency's efforts to make trading accessible to everyone"

- Bitget's Black Friday campaign offers 100% reward matches and a 50,000 USDT prize pool for spot-grid trading, targeting retail investors with automated tools. - Mutuum Finance advances to Phase 2 with 90% presale completion, preparing a Q4 2025 protocol launch supported by Halborn audits and institutional-grade security. - Both initiatives highlight crypto's shift toward democratizing trading through automation, security, and rewards to lower entry barriers for mass adoption.

Bitget-RWA2025/11/26 06:24
"Automation and enhanced security are driving cryptocurrency's efforts to make trading accessible to everyone"

Bitcoin Updates Today: The 2025–2031 Battle for Bitcoin: Long-Term Confidence Faces Near-Term Uncertainty

- Bitcoin's 2025 price dropped 30% to $85,000 amid Fed policy shifts and ETF outflows, triggering market recalibration. - Institutional investors like Harvard and Japan's Metaplanet are accumulating BTC, signaling potential 2026–2031 bull phases. - Analysts project $160,000–$350,548 targets by 2026–2031, but warn of $53,489–$58,000 bear risks amid macroeconomic uncertainties. - Long-term bullish sentiment persists despite short-term volatility, with on-chain data showing whale accumulation at discounted le

Bitget-RWA2025/11/26 06:08

Spain’s Revamp of Crypto Tax Laws May Spark Market Turmoil, Opponents Caution

- Spain's Sumar group proposed crypto tax hikes to 47% and a risk "traffic light" system for platforms in November 2025. - The plan introduces dual taxation for individuals/businesses and expands seizable crypto assets beyond EU MiCA rules. - Experts warn of legal challenges, market instability, and "absolute chaos" if the reforms create compliance burdens for investors. - Critics argue the measures could deter crypto adoption, drive activity underground, and destabilize Spain's emerging crypto sector.

Bitget-RWA2025/11/26 06:08
Spain’s Revamp of Crypto Tax Laws May Spark Market Turmoil, Opponents Caution