Crypto’s baseline demand weakens as companies reduce their purchases of BTC and ETH
- Corporate BTC/ETH purchases dropped sharply in late 2025, causing price declines and heightened volatility. - Regulatory scrutiny and macroeconomic factors intensified pressure on crypto treasury strategies. - Upcoming $23B options expiry risks sharp volatility as traders adjust positions around key strike prices. - Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term potential despite short-term turbulence.
Bitcoin and
The reduction in corporate treasury activity has triggered a cycle of risk aversion and forced sales. Joe DiPasquale, CEO of BitBull Capital, observed that the lack of consistent corporate buying weakens trust in the “balance-sheet-as-strategy” approach, hastening the decline in prices title2 [ 2 ]. Michael McCluskey from Sologenic remarked that the drop in purchases corresponds with softer prices, as corporate involvement had been a major stabilizing force during the summer’s rally title3 [ 3 ]. This trend has also affected stock markets: shares of Bitcoin-centric companies such as Helius Medical Technologies and BitMine Immersion fell by 38% and 13% respectively in the past week, while
Heightened regulatory attention has added further strain to corporate treasury tactics. According to The Wall Street Journal, financial authorities are probing unusual trading activity and sharp share price increases among crypto-related companies title5 [ 5 ]. Markus Thielen from 10x Research pointed out worries about unclear acquisition costs and dilution from private placements (PIPEs), which have led to a sharp drop in market-to-NAV ratios for many treasury-focused firms title6 [ 6 ]. This regulatory scrutiny, combined with broader economic challenges like inflation and a robust U.S. dollar, has heightened risk-off behavior, especially in leveraged derivatives markets title7 [ 7 ].
Traders are now preparing for a massive $23 billion Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiration at the end of September, one of the largest such events in crypto’s history. Analysts caution that the heavy clustering of puts and calls near key strike prices—$114,000 for Bitcoin and $4,500 for Ethereum—could spark sharp price swings as positions are adjusted title8 [ 8 ]. The put-to-call ratios for Bitcoin (1.23) and Ethereum (0.99) indicate a mixed outlook, with both bearish and bullish expectations, and market makers are expected to ramp up hedging as expiry nears. This volatility could spread to DeFi platforms, altcoins, and overall market sentiment, potentially revealing liquidity issues in a market already weakened by lower corporate participation title9 [ 9 ].
Although the market is currently experiencing a selloff, some experts remain cautiously hopeful about Bitcoin’s prospects over the long term. Gerry O’Shea of Hashdex believes Bitcoin could climb to $140,000 by year’s end, fueled by renewed corporate treasury interest and eventual improvement in macroeconomic conditions. Still, this optimism stands in contrast to the present environment, where institutional caution and regulatory headwinds are prevalent. Potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year could make holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin more attractive, but investors will need to weather short-term instability before these factors can have an impact.
The wider effects of the slowdown in treasury activity underscore the crypto sector’s growing ties with traditional finance. While corporate demand once shielded digital assets from broader economic pressures, its retreat has exposed weaknesses in leveraged and speculative positions. This period has also highlighted the necessity for clearer regulations, with both the U.S. GENIUS Act and the EU’s MiCA framework aiming to provide oversight for stablecoins and enhance investor protections. As the market works through this correction, institutional adoption of crypto is expected to continue, though with a greater emphasis on regulated offerings and transparent practices.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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