Billionaire Ray Dalio Warns ‘Painful Disruptions’ Incoming as US National Debt Set To Shatter $425,000 per Household
2025/07/04 16:00Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio is warning of severe economic and financial consequences after US President Trump’s budget bill passed Congress.
In a post on the social media platform X, the billionaire says that Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” will increase the US national debt from about $230,000 per American household to $425,000 per American household over the next decade.
The ballooning national debt will have severe ramifications, according to Dalio.
“Now that the budget bill has passed Congress, we can see what the projections look like for deficits, government debt, and debt service expenses. In brief, the bill is expected to lead to spending of about $7 trillion a year with inflows of about $5 trillion a year, so the debt, which is now about 6x of the money taken in, 100% of GDP, and about $230,000 per American family, will rise over ten years to about 7.5x the money taken in, 130% of GDP and $425,000 per family.
That will increase interest and principal payments on the debt from about $10 trillion ($1 trillion in interest, $9 trillion in principal) to about $18 trillion (of which $2 trillion is interest payments), which will lead to either a big squeezing out (and cutting off) of spending and/or unimaginable tax increases, or a lot of printing and devaluing of money and pushing interest rates to unattractively low levels.”
Dalio believes the remedy to the looming fiscal crises is to cut spending and raise taxes to lower the annual deficit to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio.
“This printing and devaluing is not good for those holding bonds as a storehold of wealth, and what’s bad for bonds and US credit markets is bad for everyone because the US Treasury market is the backbone of all capital markets, which are the backbones of our economic and social conditions. Unless this path is soon rectified to bring the budget deficit from roughly 7% of GDP to about 3% by making adjustments to spending, taxes, and interest rates, big, painful disruptions will likely occur.”
Generated Image: Midjourney
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
2025 TGE Survival Ranking: Who Will Rise to the Top and Who Will Fall? Complete Grading of 30+ New Tokens, AVICI Dominates S+
The article analyzes the TGE performance of multiple blockchain projects, evaluating project performance using three dimensions: current price versus all-time high, time span, and liquidity-to-market cap ratio. Projects are then categorized into five grades: S, A, B, C, and D. Summary generated by Mars AI This summary was generated by the Mars AI model, and the accuracy and completeness of its content are still being iteratively updated.

Mars Finance | "Machi" increases long positions, profits exceed 10 million dollars, whale shorts 1,000 BTC
Russian households have invested 3.7 billion rubles in cryptocurrency derivatives, mainly dominated by a few large players. INTERPOL has listed cryptocurrency fraud as a global threat. Malicious Chrome extensions are stealing Solana funds. The UK has proposed new tax regulations for DeFi. Bitcoin surpasses $91,000. Summary generated by Mars AI. The accuracy and completeness of this summary are still being iteratively updated by the Mars AI model.

How much is ETH really worth? Hashed provides 10 different valuation methods in one go
After taking a weighted average, the fair price of ETH exceeds $4,700.

Dragonfly partner: Crypto has fallen into financial cynicism, and those valuing public blockchains with PE ratios have already lost
People tend to overestimate what can happen in two years, but underestimate what can happen in ten years.
