YieldBasis priceYB

$YB hold or sell

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$YB buy light now

$YB buy light now

Brief Introduction of $YB Coin YieldBasis (YB) is a DeFi protocol founded by Michael Egorov (Curve Finance creator) that revolutionizes liquidity provision for $BTC and $ETH holders. It eliminates impermanent loss (IL) in AMM pools through a 2x compounding leverage mechanism on Curve's infrastructure. Users deposit BTC/ETH to receive ybBTC/ybETH tokens, representing leveraged LP positions that track the underlying asset 1:1 while earning trading fees. YB is the governance token: lock it for veYB to vote on emissions, earn protocol revenue (up to 50% of fees), and access incentives. 🔸️Total supply: 1B; circulating: ~88M (8.79%). Launched Oct 15, 2025, on major exchanges . ●Current price: ~$0.67 (down 35% from ATH $1.064 on launch day), market cap: ~$59M, FDV: ~$670M. TVL: $150M+ in pools offering ~40% APR. It's positioned as a "BTC DeFi yield layer," with strong community airdrops and multi-chain scalability. ■$YB /USDT shows post-launch volatility on a 1D/4H scale after TGE on Oct 15. The price opened near $1.064 (ATH), spiked on hype, then dumped ~40% to $0.67 amid $19B+ market-wide liquidations and early unlocks. □Overall Pattern: Classic "pump-and-dump" post-launch triangle, evolving into a descending channel. ▪︎On the 4H chart, it's forming a falling wedge (bullish reversal potential) with lower highs ($0.873 high, $0.67 low) and contracting volatility. Volume spiked to 293K on dump (red candles dominant), now stabilizing at 218K with MA(5): $0.619K (rising slightly). Support at $0.6345 (ATL), resistance at $0.873 (24H high). If it breaks $0.80, targets $0.95 (38.2% Fib retracement from ATH). ¤ Key Indicators: •MACD (12,26,9): Histogram negative (-0.030), signal line crossover bearish, but divergence hints at momentum shift. •RSI(6): 38.81 (oversold, below 30 = buy signal soon). •Bollinger Bands: Price hugging lower band ($0.5251), squeeze suggests breakout volatility. •EMAs: EMA(20): $0.9447 (price below = bearish), but EMA(10): $0.8724 converging upward. ●The pie chart shows net outflow (-86.5K YB total), with large sells (280.77K) > buys (188.90K), but small buys (6.04K) dominate inflows (23.18K net positive for retail). ° 5D large order net inflow: -165.45K (whale selling pressure). 24H funds net inflow line chart: Volatile, from +10,781 to -9,722 YB, ending at -3,556 (mild outflow). ○This is a post-hype correction in a broader crypto crash (BTC -12%, ETH -12% on Oct 10-11), but YB's DeFi utility could drive recovery if TVL grows. K-Line Pattern Analysis (Heikin-Ashi) Heikin-Ashi (HA) smooths candlesticks for trend clarity. 《◇》Based on the candlestick chart YB's HA lines show: Recent 1H candles: Small red bodies with long lower wicks (buying absorption at lows ~$0.67), transitioning to doji (indecision) near $0.6733. Pattern: Bearish continuation (series of red HA candles post-launch), but a potential hammer reversal at ATL ($0.6345) with upper wick testing $0.7873 (24H high). ▪︎Trend: Downtrend intact (HA close < open), but volume drop (218K vs. 293K peak) and RSI oversold suggest exhaustion. •Watch for green HA body above $0.70 for bullish flip. HA filters noise, confirming the raw OHLC dump but highlighting support holds. |○| Candlestick Patterns Analysis Focusing on 15M-1H timeframe from screenshots: Bearish Patterns: Launch day (Oct 15) featured a shooting star at ATH ($1.064), followed by engulfing bearish candles (red swallowing prior green), signaling reversal. Three black crows (three declining reds) from $0.873 to $0.67 confirmed dump. Bullish Signals Emerging: At current low ($0.67), a hammer/doji combo (long lower wick, small body) near ATL ($0.6345), with volume spike on blue candle (buyers stepping in). •Potential bullish harami if next candle greens up. •Reliability: High-volume bearish engulfing (293K vol) drove the drop, but oversold RSI (38) and FVG fill below amplify reversal odds. Avoid trading isolated candles; confirm with BOS. •FVG Analysis Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are 3-candle imbalances from rapid moves (gaps between candle 1 high/low and candle 3 low/high). •Identified FVGs: Bullish FVG: Post-ATH dump created a gap ~$0.80-$0.873 (Oct 15, 13:15 UTC line chart spike). Price retraced but failed to fill fully; acts as resistance/magnet for upside. Bearish FVG: At ATL ($0.6345), gap ~$0.6345-$0.6733 (rapid sell-off, non-overlapping wicks). Price is filling this now (~50% retraced), suggesting support. Expect pullback to fill 100% before reversal. Trading: Enter long on bullish FVG retest ($0.80) with stop below $0.75. FVGs align with liquidity sweeps (order book depth shows bids clustering at $0.65). In SMC, unfilled FVGs = inefficiency; target 50-62% fill for entries. ●Structure Shift Analysis and Forecast. Market structure: Higher highs/lows (bullish) vs. lower highs/lows (bearish). Current Structure: Bearish (post-launch lower high at $0.873 < prior $1.064; lower low at $0.6345). Descending channel intact, but oversold conditions signal potential shift. °MSS (Market Structure Shift): Bullish MSS if price breaks above recent swing high ($0.75, prior lower high). Confirmed by close above EMA(20) $0.9447 with displacement (strong green candle + FVG). Bearish MSS unlikely (already dumped 40%). •Forecast: °Short-term (24-48H): Sideways consolidation $0.65-$0.75 (50% Fib). °Medium-term (1W): Bullish shift to $0.95 if BTC rebounds (correlation 0.85). °Long-term (1M): $1.20+ if TVL hits $300M (43% fee capture for veYB). ▪︎Risk: Further macro dump to $0.50 if BTC < $100K. Probability: 65% upside on DeFi rotation. ●Macro Impact on Coin October 2025 crypto crash $19-20B liquidations, BTC -14% to $104K, ETH -12%) hit DeFi hard, with $YB dropping 40% on launch amid forced deleveraging. Altcoins/DeFi tokens like $YB saw 50%+ intraday swings due to thin liquidity and U.S.-China tariff fears. Positive tailwinds: Fed rate cuts boost risk-on (DeFi TVL +20% Q3 to $164B), Trump inauguration (Jan 2025) eyes BTC reserves/crypto normalization, driving ETH/DeFi +70% . Institutional inflows (ETFs, Chainlink-ICE partnerships) favor BTC yield protocols; YB's no-IL model captures this, but volatility persists if recession fears mount (Fear & Greed: Extreme Fear). °Net: Bearish short-term macro, but DeFi recovery (TVL growth) supports 2x upside by Q4. ●BOS Analysis Break of Structure (BOS) confirms trend continuation in SMC. Recent BOS: Bearish BOS on Oct 15 (price broke below prior swing low $0.80, volume 293K, confirming dump continuation). No bullish BOS yet (needs close > $0.75 swing high). Implication: Bearish bias holds until BOS up. Pair with liquidity grab (swept $0.6345 lows). °Target post-BOS: Next structure level ($0.95 high if bullish). ●SMC Indicator Smart Money Concepts (SMC) overlays: Order Blocks (OB), liquidity sweeps, inducements. Order Blocks: Bullish OB at $0.6345 (last down-close before dump; institutional buy zone, aligns with FVG). Bearish OB at $0.873 (mitigation block for shorts). Liquidity Sweeps: Dump swept buy-side liquidity below $0.67 (order book bids at $0.65), inducing retail panic. Smart money likely accumulated here (net small inflow +23K). Inducements: Fakeout above $0.80 (pre-dump) trapped longs. Overall: Smart money bearish (large net outflow -91.87K), but retail inflows signal reversal. ■Trade: Long from bullish OB/FVG confluence. Trade Plan: $500 Investment Using Above Data (Exact Chart Values) Setup: Long spot (no leverage; post-crash recovery play). Entry on bullish MSS confirmation (break $0.75 swing high) + FVG retest. Risk: 1% ($5) per trade. Goal: 3:1 RR. Allocation: $500 total → Buy ~745 YB at entry $0.671 (current avg from screenshots). Entry: $0.671 (current close; add on dip to $0.65 support/OB if no MSS). Stop Loss: $0.6345 (ATL, 5.5% risk; ~$26 loss, but cap at $5 via partial position: sell 20% if hit). Take Profit: •TP1: $0.75 (11.6% gain, +$58; scale out 30% → $223 → 223 YB). •TP2: $0.873 (24H high/resistance, 30% gain, +$150; scale 40% → $200 → 229 YB). •TP3: $0.95 (Fib 38.2%, 41.7% gain, +$208; trail remaining 30%). Position Size: Full $500 entry (745 YB). ▪︎Monitor 24H inflow chart for confirmation (green line >0). Exit Rules: Trail stop to breakeven at TP1. Close if bearish BOS below $0.6345 or macro dump (BTC <$100K). Expected Outcome: +25% avg ($125 profit) on partials; hold remainder for $1+ if TVL surges. Level □Suggested Trade Setup for Trader Level (Market Situation: Post-Crash Consolidation, Beginner-Intermediate). Market Situation: Volatile post-launch + macro crash = high risk, low liquidity. Favour spot over futures (avoid leverage amid 20%+ swings). DeFi rotation favors longs, but wait for confirmation. Beginner: Spot buy-and-hold $500 at $0.67, target $0.80 (20% gain). °Use limit order at support $0.65. No TA; set alert for BTC rebound. Risk: 2% ($10 SL at $0.65). •Why: Simple, aligns with YB utility (stake for 40% APR post-buy). Intermediate: SMC FVG/OB long (as plan above). Add RSI<30 filter. •Why: Builds on chart confluences (OB $0.65 + FVG fill), suits 1-3 day holds in uncertain macro. Advanced: Futures scalp (5x lev) on 15M BOS: Short $0.75 break fail, long MSS confirm. Target 1:2 RR. •Why: Exploits volatility (pie chart outflows), but only if experienced (90% retail losses in crashes). General Advice: 80% spot for safety; stake $YB for yield. 'Monitor X sentiment (bullish on DeFi, but dump FUD). DYOR; not financial advice.