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Vanguard warns that Japan's neutral interest rate is underestimated and suggests underweighting Japanese bonds

Vanguard warns that Japan's neutral interest rate is underestimated and suggests underweighting Japanese bonds

金色财经金色财经2025/12/05 02:07
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Jinse Finance reported that trillion-dollar asset management giant Vanguard Group has issued a warning that the market is seriously underestimating Japan's neutral interest rate level. The group's global head of rates, Harrem, stated that the Bank of Japan needs higher rates than the market expects to effectively curb inflation, and predicts that the central bank will continue to raise rates at its December 19 meeting. Currently, Japan's policy rate is 0.5%, while the neutral rate is estimated to be between 1% and 2.5%. Vanguard Group advises investors to underweight Japanese short-term government bonds, believing that underweighting Japanese bonds at the short end of the yield curve is the correct strategy to avoid risk.

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